-- 丹麦银行研究部预计,欧洲央行将在4月份的货币政策会议上维持存款利率在2%不变,但会为夏季可能加息留有余地,“以稳定通胀预期”。 分析师在周五发布的预览报告中指出:“欧洲央行中央委员会成员近期的沟通表明,他们并不急于提高政策利率……欧洲央行可能对目前市场预期今年加息65个基点感到满意。尽管我们认为市场预期还有小幅下调的空间,因为欧洲央行中央委员会成员最近的沟通越来越多地提及能源价格上涨导致经济增长前景恶化。因此,鉴于经济前景存在极大的不确定性,我们预计欧洲央行不会提前承诺夏季加息。” 该研究机构预计,欧洲央行将在6月和7月将关键政策利率上调25个基点,使存款利率升至2.5%。 欧洲央行将于4月30日公布最新的利率决议。
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