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中国生产者价格在连续41个月下跌后重回通胀轨道

-- 中国3月份生产者价格指数结束了连续41个月的下跌,自2022年以来首次恢复通胀。 根据国家统计局周五公布的数据,3月份工厂出厂价格上涨0.5%,扭转了2月份0.9%的跌幅。 彭博社和路透社调查的分析师此前预测,3月份通胀率为0.4%。 荷兰国际集团(ING)的分析师认为,生产者价格指数的回升可能转化为中国经济整体的通胀回升势头。 荷兰国际集团分析师表示,生产者价格通胀在石油和天然气开采行业价格同比上涨5.2%最为明显,而此前两个月该行业价格同比下跌14.8%。 然而,麦格理银行的分析师认为,生产者价格指数的反弹是一次性成本冲击,而非真正的通胀回升,这同样是由于油价上涨所致。 麦格理银行表示,有色金属、计算机和电信以及煤炭和钢铁的生产者价格也推高了生产者价格指数(PPI)。 与此同时,衡量通胀的消费者价格指数(CPI)在3月份同比上涨1%,低于2月份的1.3%。 中国消费者价格涨幅低于路透社调查的经济学家预期的1.2%。 剔除食品和能源价格的核心CPI上涨1.1%。 荷兰国际集团(ING)表示,涨幅放缓是由于春节假期后价格正常回落所致。 国家统计局表示,猪肉价格同比下降11.5%。 国家统计局还表示,CPI环比下降0.7%。

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