-- 周五早盘，由于中东紧张局势有所缓和，油价下跌。以色列和黎巴嫩之间为期10天的停火协议生效首日，同时，市场也对美国和伊朗之间的进一步会谈抱有希望。 5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格下跌3.89美元，至每桶90.80美元；6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格下跌3.45美元，至每桶95.94美元。 中东至少在两个战线上维持了停火协议。以色列和黎巴嫩周四就以色列打击黎巴嫩境内真主党武装分子的战争达成停火协议。此外，市场也希望美国和伊朗之间能够进行进一步会谈，以结束两国之间的冲突。这场冲突导致霍尔木兹海峡关闭，而霍尔木兹海峡是全球20%石油和液化天然气（LNG）日需求的咽喉要道，这些石油和液化天然气主要由波斯湾国家供应。 以色列停止对黎巴嫩的袭击是伊朗与美国谈判的关键诉求之一，这或许能为两国进一步对话铺平道路。美国总统特朗普周四表示，他预计由巴基斯坦斡旋的会谈将很快恢复。 《华尔街日报》周五援引土耳其国家通讯社的报道称，伊朗副外长赛义德·哈提卜扎德表示，伊朗希望谈判能够达成战争的永久解决方案，而不是又一次临时停火。同时，伊朗还希望规范通过这条至关重要的海峡的航运。 尽管美伊停火可能使海峡航运恢复，但随着海湾地区生产商重启停产油田的生产，海湾地区的石油供应可能会缓慢恢复，而伊朗对其邻国石油和天然气基础设施的袭击可能需要数年才能修复。 盛宝银行写道：“由于人们对美伊重启谈判以及以黎停火的希望有所缓解，油价有所回落……但整体供应问题依然存在，中东生产中断仍在影响现货市场，这意味着即使外交努力取得进展，油价也可能维持在高位。”
Related Articles
Asia Markets
Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled
The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.
$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.
$URI
Equities
Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, said Sunday it swung back to profit in the first quarter of 2026, while revenue increased year over year.Net profit attributable to shareholders of the issuer for the three months ended March 31 was 1.47 billion Saudi riyals, compared with the attributable loss of 691 million riyals earlier. EPS moved to 0.88 riyal from a loss per share of 0.41 riyal.The Tadawul-listed oil refining and petrochemical company's revenue was 14.85 billion riyals, compared with 11.21 billion riyals a year ago.
$SASE:2380