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FINWIRES

リサーチアラート:CFRAはアラスカ航空グループの株式に対する買い推奨を改めて表明

-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を6ドル引き下げ、53ドルとします。これは、2027年のEPS予想倍率7.5倍(2026年のEPS予想倍率10.5倍から繰り越し)に相当し、燃料費の変動と地政学的リスクの高まりによる収益リスクの増大を反映した、過去10年間の平均倍率11.5倍を下回る水準です。2026年のEPS予想を5.60ドルから-0.76ドルに、2027年のEPS予想を8.00ドルから7.02ドルにそれぞれ引き下げます。これは主に、第2四半期における6億ドルの燃料費増加による逆風を反映したものです。予想を引き下げたにもかかわらず、株価は魅力的な水準で取引されており、過去10年間の平均予想倍率に対して40%のディスカウントとなっているため、「買い」の投資判断を維持します。当社はこれを、ALKの競争力の構造的な低下ではなく、燃料価格変動による周期的な逆風と捉えています。さらに、法人旅行(第1四半期は前年同期比+19%)とプレミアム収入(第1四半期は前年同期比+9%)は、根強い需要が依然として堅調であることを示唆しています。燃料価格の変動により短期的な収益見通しは不透明ですが、ALKの戦略的な位置づけ、事業運営能力(ハワイアン航空との統合)、そして割安な株価は、魅力的な投資機会を生み出していると考えています。

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