-- カナダ国立銀行によると、プリンスエドワード島は2025年に堅調な経済成長を記録し、実質国内総生産(GDP)は全国平均を上回る伸びを示したものの、GDPインフレ率の鈍化により名目GDPはカナダ全体の名目GDP成長率4.3%とほぼ同水準となった。 同行は、前年度における州財政赤字は予想を上回り、支出増と歳入減の両方が影響したと指摘した。 カナダ国立銀行は、今後の見通しとして、プリンスエドワード島は引き続き赤字が続くと予想しており、2026~27年度の赤字は4億1000万ドル(GDP比3.5%)と予測している。これは前年度より若干の改善となる。赤字は続くものの、予測期間が進むにつれて縮小し、2028~29年度の赤字は3億3800万ドル(GDP比2.6%)と見込まれている。 他の州と同様に、プリンスエドワードアイランド州の予算は中核的な公共サービス支出を優先し、財政健全化を支援するために一部の歳出削減と税制変更を実施していると、同行は指摘した。 純債務対GDP比は3カ年計画を通じて増加し、2026~27年度には38.1%に達し、昨年12月に示された財政目標値40%をわずかに下回る2028~29年度には39.9%でピークを迎えると予想される。州の利払い負担もこれと連動して増加し、最終予測年度には7.2%に達するが、これは2つの目標値のうち2番目の7.5%を下回ると、ナショナルバンクは付け加えた。 債券発行総額は、わずか2年前と比べて大幅に増加しているものの、来年度には若干緩和される見込みだ。州は、2025~26年度の10億ドルから減少し、9億ドルの長期債発行を予測している。
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