-- 水曜日のドイツ株式市場は、ドイツの最新インフレ統計と、同日後半に予定されている米連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)の政策金利決定を市場が慎重に見極める中、下落して取引を終えた。 経済指標や企業関連ニュースが目白押しだったこの日、主要株価指数であるDAX指数は0.27%安で引けた。 ドイツ連邦統計局(Destatis)の速報値によると、4月のドイツ年間インフレ率は前月の2.7%から2.9%に加速したが、市場予想の3%を下回った。食品とエネルギー価格を除いたコアインフレ率は、前月の2.5%から2.3%に低下した。 INGは、「ECBに目を向けると、ドイツのインフレデータは、明日の政策会合を前にスタグフレーション圧力の高まりを示す証拠をさらに強めるものだ。実際のインフレ率とインフレ期待の上昇は利上げ議論を活発化させるだろうが、景気後退の兆候が強まっているため、積極的な利上げは容易ではないだろう」と指摘した。 一方、ifo経済研究所は、世界的な不安定化が続く中、ドイツ企業が人員削減を加速させていると指摘し、人員削減はほぼすべての産業分野に影響を及ぼしていると述べた。ifo雇用バロメーターは2026年4月に91.3ポイントに低下し、前月の93.4ポイントから低下、2020年5月以来の最低水準となった。 企業面では、アディダス(ADS.F)がDAX指数構成銘柄の中で急騰し、8.35%上昇した。これは、第1四半期の業績が市場予想を上回り、通期目標を維持したことが要因だ。ドイツのスポーツウェア大手であるアディダスは、為替変動の影響を除いた売上高が前年同期比14%増の65億9000万ユーロとなり、市場予想の9%増を上回った。同社は2026年の売上高も為替変動の影響を除いた売上高が1桁台後半の伸びを見込んでおり、これは絶対額で20億ユーロに相当する。 「全体的に見て好調な決算だが、唯一の大きな懸念材料は、構成比におけるフットウェアの相対的な弱さと、ワールドカップ関連商品の貢献度がどの程度かという点だろう。我々の見解では、アディダスが多くの重要なカテゴリーで好調な業績を上げたことは非常に力強い。株価収益率(PER)が15倍という水準は、現時点で通期業績の上方修正を織り込んでいないことを示しており、今回の決算は本日、株価が好反応を示すのに十分な材料となるだろう」と、ドイツ銀行リサーチは述べている。 一方、メルセデス・ベンツ・グループ(MBG.F)は、第1四半期の売上高が前年同期比5%減の316億ユーロとなったと発表した。中国での販売急激な落ち込みが、電気自動車需要の増加や米国・欧州市場での成長を相殺した形だ。ドイツの自動車メーカーである同社の株価は、終値で0.56%下落した。
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Equities Fall Intraday Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; Oil Prices Jump
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US housing starts unexpectedly jumped in March amid strength in both single-unit and multi-family projects, while building permits fell sharply, government data showed Wednesday.Starts surged nearly 11% sequentially to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.5 million units last month, according to the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The consensus was for a 0.4% drop in a survey compiled by Bloomberg. Preliminary February housing starts stood at 1.36 million units, according to official data."Homebuilding activity ended the first quarter with notable strength, hitting a 15-month high in March," Andrew Foran, an economist at TD Economics, said in a note.Starts on buildings with at least five units jumped 9.6% month on month to 446,000 units in March. The single-family component increased 9.7% to 1.03 million units. Consolidated housing starts increased in all regions, with the biggest gains of 25% and 12% seen in the Northeast and Midwest, respectively, according to government data.Building permits -- which is a forward-looking indicator of homebuilding -- slumped 11% on a monthly basis to 1.37 million units last month, while Wall Street expected a smaller 0.3% drop. Single-family unit permits declined 3.8%, while authorizations of buildings with five or more units sank 24%.Mortgage rates fell through the end of February, with the national average for the fixed 30-year rate reaching below 6% for the first time in almost four years, according to TD Economics."However, mortgage rates rose by roughly half a percentage-point in March, which was likely reflected in the sharp decline in residential permits during the month and points to softening momentum heading into April," Foran said.Earlier this month, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said US homebuilder confidence sank in April to the lowest since September amid economic uncertainty, as well as increasing building material costs and interest rates."Combined with the impact of revised primary metal tariff policies, higher mortgage rates, and elevated economic uncertainty, homebuilding activity is likely to remain constrained over the near term," Foran said Wednesday.