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FINWIRES

トロントの住宅市場に4月は回復の兆しが見られるものの、逆風は依然として続いているとナショナルバンクは述べている。

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-- カナダ国立銀行によると、トロント地域不動産協会(TRREB)のデータでは、4月の住宅販売件数(季節調整済み)は前月比6.1%増加し、5ヶ月連続の減少の後、2ヶ月連続の増加となった。 しかし、この改善にもかかわらず、トロントの取引水準は依然として「非常に低迷」しており、パンデミックや2008年の金融危機時と同程度であると、同行は指摘している。実際、販売件数は依然として過去平均を26.5%下回っている。 厳しい秋と冬を経て、過去2ヶ月間の販売増加は確かに歓迎すべきことだが、これが持続的な回復の始まりを示すものかどうかを判断するには時期尚早である。 カナダ国立銀行は、トロントの住宅市場には、継続的な商業的・地政学的不確実性、インフレ率の上昇(それに伴う固定金利住宅ローン金利の上昇)、人口減少など、いくつかの逆風要因が今後も続くと述べている。 ナショナルバンクは、トロントで近年見られる価格下落が、初めて住宅を購入する人にとってはプラス要因となる一方で、市場全体の勢いを阻害する要因となり得ると指摘した。 2025年以降、多くの住宅所有者が住宅ローンの借り換え時に直面する返済負担の増大に加え、トロントの不動産価格は過去1年間で10%、過去3年間で5%下落し、過去5年間ではわずか2%の上昇にとどまっている。これは、この期間における過去最低の上昇率である。 その結果、近年の購入者は住宅にほとんど、あるいは全く資産価値を蓄積できておらず、これが将来の住宅購入計画を制限し、市場の勢いを鈍化させる可能性があると、同行は付け加えた。

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