FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

ソシエテ・ジェネラルの夜間経済ニュース概要

-- ソシエテ・ジェネラルは水曜早朝の経済ニュース概要で、以下の点を指摘した。 ――トランプ米大統領がイランとの停戦を無期限に延長したことを受け、リスク資産がやや買われ、ブレント原油は1バレル101.2ドルから97.7ドルに下落した。イランは、交渉再開の条件として米国の封鎖解除を求めた。ニュージーランドドル(NZD)、オーストラリアドル(AUD)、メキシコペソ(MXN)、南アフリカランド(ZAR)が対米ドル(USD)で上昇を主導した。米国の堅調な小売売上高を受け、債券利回りは火曜日の上昇分を吸収し、弱気相場は横ばいとなった。ウォーシュ氏は上院議長承認公聴会で、連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)の独立性を擁護し、金利、ガイダンス、バランスシートに関する異なる政策アプローチを示唆した。 ――英国の3月の消費者物価指数は、燃料価格の上昇により前年同月比3.3%に加速し、2月の3.0%から上昇幅が拡大した。一方、コア指数は前年同月比3.1%に低下した。サービス業は4.5%に加速、モノのインフレ率は1.6%から2.1%に上昇。イングランド銀行は、第1四半期から第2四半期にかけてインフレ率の著しい減速はなく、平均で約3%になると予測している。 -- 今後の予定:欧州中央銀行(ECB)のドレンツ総裁、ミュラー総裁、レーン総裁、スレイペン総裁、ナーゲル総裁、ラガルド総裁が講演。米国20年国債入札。トルコ中央銀行(CBT)は政策金利を37.0%で据え置くと予測する一方、ソシエテ・ジェネラルは300ベーシスポイント(bps)の利上げを40.0%と予測。南アフリカの消費者物価指数(CPI)。 -- 日経平均株価+0.4%、ユーロ10年物金利利回り-1.5bpsで3.025%、ブレント原油-0.7%で97.7ドル/バレル、金+1.2%で4,765ドル/オンス。

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS
Asia Markets

Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

$URI