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FINWIRES

ソシエテ・ジェネラルの夜間経済ニュース概要

-- ソシエテ・ジェネラルは月曜早朝の経済ニュース概要で次のように指摘した。 ――湾岸情勢の再燃を受け、ブレント原油が反発し、リスク回避の動きが小幅に拡大。ユーロ・ストックス先物は1.4%安、米ドルは下げ幅を縮小、ドイツ10年債利回りは3.0%まで回復。米国が封鎖を解除しない限り、イランはホルムズ海峡の封鎖を継続する。米国はイラン船籍の貨物船を拿捕した。パキスタンでは月曜に和平交渉が予定されており、停戦は水曜に期限切れとなる。 -- CFTC(米国商品先物取引委員会)のFXポジション:ユーロ(EUR)はネットロングに転じ、建玉の3.3%を占める。円(JPY)のショートは23.5%に縮小、英ポンド(GBP)のショートは21.9%に縮小、豪ドル(AUD)のロングは24.7%に縮小、カナダドル(CADまたはルーニー)のロングは8.1%に縮小、メキシコペソ(MXN)のロングは31.3%で横ばい、ニューヨーク・マーカンタイル取引所(NYMEX)のロングは9.9%で横ばい。 -- 今週の予定:ケビン・ウォーシュ氏の連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)新議長就任承認公聴会が火曜日に行われる。ユーロ圏、米国、英国の速報値PMI。米国の小売売上高。ドイツのZEW景況感指数。英国の消費者物価指数、雇用統計、小売売上高。インドネシアとトルコの中央銀行は政策金利を据え置く見込み。日本、カナダ、南アフリカの消費者物価指数。 日経平均株価は+0.6%、ユーロ10年物金利は+4bpsの3.03%、ブレント原油は+5.6%の95.4米ドル/バレル、金価格は-0.8%の4,791米ドル/オンス。

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

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Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

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$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

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