-- スイスの主要株価指数であるスイス市場指数は、企業業績発表、経済指標発表、重要な金融政策決定など、投資家が多忙な一週間を控える中、月曜日の終値で0.03%下落した。 サンセラ・ファーマシューティカルズ(SANN.SW)は、欧州医薬品庁(EMA)のヒト用医薬品委員会から、デュシェンヌ型筋ジストロフィー治療薬「アガムリー」の承認範囲を2歳以上の小児にも拡大する承認勧告を得た。同薬は現在、4歳以上の患者への使用が承認されている。スイスのスペシャリティファーマシューティカルズ社の株価は終値で8.38%上昇した。 一方、RBCキャピタル・マーケッツは、ロンザ・グループ(LONN.SW)の投資判断を「アウトパフォーム」に据え置き、目標株価を670フランとした。これは、スイスの製薬会社であるロンザ・グループの第1四半期決算発表が「特筆すべき事態は発生しない」との見通しに基づいている。同株は終値で1.83%上昇した。 「5月8日に発表される第1四半期の定性的なアップデートは、バカビルに関する具体的なコメントが今後提供されなくなるため、株価の大きな起爆剤とは見なしていません。また、特殊治療薬事業のさらなる低迷も驚くべきことではありません。当社は、この機会に、販売製品(エンフロンシア)とパイプラインのトラッカーを更新・追加しました。臨床試験には一定の進展が見られますが、コンセンサス予想は若干下方修正されています(総売上高のピーク予測は変更なし)」と、調査会社は述べ、ロンザを「魅力的で過小評価されている複利効果のある投資対象」と見なしていると付け加えた。 この日の国内経済ニュースは発表されなかったが、今後数日間で、スイスKOF経済バロメーターとUBS & CFA協会スイスの4月経済センチメント指数、そして3月の小売売上高が発表される予定だ。市場関係者は、米連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)、欧州中央銀行(ECB)、イングランド銀行の金利決定にも注目している。
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Opinion On Shares Of P&g
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our 12-month price target by $7 to $136, based on 19.5x our FY 26 EPS estimate and below the company's five-year average forward P/E multiple of 23.6x, reflecting our view of increased competition, higher commodity prices, and ambitious growth targets. We maintain our FY 26 and FY 27 EPS estimates of $6.96 and $7.27, respectively. P&G posted normalized FQ3 EPS of $1.59 vs. $1.54 in the year prior and $0.03 above consensus estimates. Net sales rose to $21.2B, representing a 7% increase that included a 4%-pt tailwind from FX. Organic sales advanced 3%, driven equally by a 2% increase in volume and 1% improvement in pricing, while mix remained neutral. Profitability metrics came under pressure during the quarter as gross margin contracted by 150 bps to 49.5%. On a core basis, gross margin declined 100 bps to 50.0%, impacted by 180 bps of unfavorable mix, 100 bps of reinvestments, 50 bps of higher tariff costs, and 10 bps of unfavorable commodity costs. We remain at Sell on shares.
Crude Market Faces "Cruel Summer" as War-Driven Supply Shock Ripples West, RBC Says
The Middle East conflict is tightening global energy markets and raising the risk of a "cruel summer" for consumers, as constrained supply collides with peak seasonal demand and policymakers struggle to contain the fallout, RBC Capital Markets strategists said in a note on Sunday.RBC analysts said the conflict, now in its third month, has displaced up to 1 billion barrels of crude and refined products from global markets, marking what some analysts describe as the largest supply shock in modern history.However, despite intermittent ceasefire signals and market optimism around a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, negotiations between Iran and the US remain deadlocked.Iran has refused to abandon uranium enrichment, while the US has yet to secure meaningful concessions, with recent talks failing to materialize.RBC said for weeks the Trump administration has leaned on messaging that the conflict could end soon, helping cap near-term oil prices. However, market participants said that the narrative may be masking the severity of the supply crunch and delaying necessary demand destruction."The price response has been unusually muted given the scale of the disruption," RBC analysts said, adding that subdued prices risk fostering complacency among policymakers and consumers alike.The analysts said even in a best-case scenario, the return of Middle Eastern supply is expected to be slow. Damage to oil fields, export terminals, and logistics networks could take 3 to 6 months to repair, RBC said, with longer timelines likely if subsurface infrastructure has been severely damaged.Uncertainty over the true extent of the damage remains high, with satellite imagery offering only partial insights and on-the-ground assessments still pending.Meanwhile, global inventories are drawing down as supply remains constrained. RBC analysts expect crude and refined product prices to rise further into the summer, driven by steady demand and tightening fundamentals.Refinery margins are also set to strengthen, as limited product availability pushes up fuel prices. However, the dynamic carries risks, as higher costs could eventually trigger demand destruction and weigh on the global economy.Though Asia has been the epicenter of the crisis, the effects of the Iranian conflict are being felt in Europe, where energy import costs have surged.The European Union has spent an additional 24 billion euros ($28.1 billion) on fossil fuel imports since February, with aviation among the hardest-hit sectors.Major carriers, including Lufthansa, KLM, and Scandinavian Airlines, have collectively canceled tens of thousands of flights due to high fuel costs and route constraints. Some airlines said that fuel supplies are only secured through mid-May, raising the prospect of further disruptions.The conflict is also accelerating shifts in consumer behavior. Electric vehicle adoption is rising rapidly, with battery-electric registrations in Europe jumping in early 2026, while second-hand EV sales have surged in key markets.On the demand side, RBC said Asian governments are taking aggressive steps to curb energy consumption.South Korea has extended fuel price controls, while India has cut industrial LNG supplies by 20%. Bangladesh has introduced fuel rationing, and countries including the Philippines, Vietnam, and Sri Lanka have reinstated remote work policies and driving restrictions.China, the world's largest energy importer, appears better positioned to absorb the shock, having built up strategic reserves. However, its reliance on Middle Eastern supply, which accounts for more than half of its imports, leaves it exposed to prolonged disruption.RBC analysts said that the combination of steady demand, constrained supply, and limited price response could amplify the eventual market correction.The analysts said any additional disruptions, including refinery outages, export restrictions, or further attacks on energy infrastructure, could exacerbate shortages just as summer demand peaks.