-- コメルツ銀行は火曜日の「ヨーロピアン・サンライズ」レポートで、以下の点を強調した。 市場:米国債はニューヨーク市場終盤で安定、アジア市場では横ばい。米国株は下落して引け、Eミニ先物は回復、アジア市場はまちまち。ブレント原油は前夜に1バレル114ドルを突破した後、小幅下落。米ドルは堅調に推移。 FRB:ニューヨーク連邦準備銀行のジョン・ウィリアムズ総裁は、「インフレ率の低下を反映させるため、いずれ利下げが必要になる」と述べた。ドナルド・トランプ大統領は、金利が高すぎると述べている。 米国財務省の第2四半期純借入額の見通しは、790億ドル上方修正され、1,890億ドルとなった。米国財務省は来週火曜日から関税還付を開始する。 イラン戦争:トランプ大統領は、戦争はあと2~3週間続く可能性があり、合意形成において「時間は重要ではない」と述べた。イランと米国は交戦した。海軍駆逐艦2隻がホルムズ海峡を通過(CBS)。イラン外務省は「プロジェクト・フリーダム」を「プロジェクト・デッドロック」と一蹴した。複数の商船が炎上しているとの報道。 ==欧州: 欧州中央銀行(ECB):ECB理事会メンバーのヨアヒム・ナーゲル氏は、6月のインフレ見通しで「インフレ見通しが著しく改善しない場合」は「利上げの根拠となる」と述べた。ECBは「必要に応じて断固とした行動をとる」ことを証明してきた。 欧州連合(EU):欧州委員会副委員長のヴァルディス・ドムブロフスキス氏は、「欧州はスタグフレーションショックに直面している」と述べた。EUは、銀行のMythos脆弱性をテストするため、Anthropic社と協議している。 ==アジア: 日本は「投機的な為替変動に対して大胆な措置を講じる」(片山さつき財務大臣)。 オーストラリア:中央銀行(RBA)は予想通り、政策金利を25ベーシスポイント引き上げ、4.35%とした。
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