-- カナダ国立銀行によると、カナダ経済全体の動向は継続的なデータ配信によって把握しやすくなっているものの、州レベルでの成長分析はそうではないという。 同行は、先週、カナダ統計局が州別の産業別国内総生産(GDP)推計値を初めて発表し、2025年の概況を示したと指摘した。 カナダ国立銀行は、2025年の経済情勢を最も大きく左右した出来事は、米国との貿易摩擦であり、地域間の経済格差を拡大させたことは疑いの余地がないと述べた。成長率が最も低かった3州、ケベック州(0.6%)、オンタリオ州(1.3%)、マニトバ州(1.3%)は、いずれも製造業が経済に占める割合が全国平均よりも高いという共通点がある。 同行は、この製造業がカナダ平均よりも高い関税のために、これらの州の経済成長にマイナスの影響を与えたと指摘した。 ケベック州は、国内で最も高い関税に直面したため、製造業の低迷による影響を最も大きく受けた。 オンタリオ州では、関税がカナダで2番目に高い水準とほぼ同等であったにもかかわらず、製造業のマイナス影響はより限定的だった。しかし、人口増加率が例年より低かったこと(0.3%に対し、カナダ全体では0.6%)が主な要因となり、オンタリオ州経済は低迷したと指摘されている。 ナショナル・バンクによると、2025年の経済は貿易摩擦と人口動態の変動によって特徴づけられたが、これら2つの要因は今年度の経済パフォーマンスにも引き続き影響を与えるだろう。
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