-- デジャルダン銀行は、火曜遅くに発表された政府の数字を受けて、2025～2026会計年度（FY26）の財政赤字は依然として669億ドルと相当な額ではあるものの、2025年度予算で予測されていた783億ドルを下回ったと述べた。 同行は、短期的な財政赤字の改善の大きな要因は、予想を上回る経済実績であり、これは連邦政府のコントロールの及ばないものである、と指摘した。また、このような状況が繰り返されるとは限らないとも述べた。 デジャルダン銀行は、こうした改善された出発点と経済見通しにもかかわらず、今後の財政赤字予測は2025年度予算からほぼ変わっていないと指摘した。 同行は、名目国内総生産（GDP）見通しの上方修正による大きなメリットの一つは、将来の財政赤字の対GDP比が縮小したことであり、たとえその赤字額自体は2025年度予算からほぼ変わっていないとしても、その縮小は影響しないと述べた。 デジャルダン氏は、連邦債務の推移自体はそれほど大きく変わらないものの、連邦債務対GDP比率の予測値は「大幅に」低下すると付け加えた。 同行によると、これによりカナダは多くの先進国よりも良好な財政状態を維持でき、高い信用格付けと比較的低い債務返済コストを支えることになるという。
Related Articles
International
FOMC Holds Federal Funds Rate Steady at Range of 3.50% to 3.75%
Sectors
Update: Gold Falls to a Month Low as Rising Energy Costs Expected to Boost Inflation
(Updates prices.)Gold traded lower for a third-straight day early Wednesday, pressured by inflation worries even as the Federal Reserve's policy committee is expected to leave rates unchanged when it ends its two-day meeting this afternoon.Gold for June delivery was last seen down US$50.40 to US$4,558.00 per ounce, the lowest since March 30.With oil trading near four-year highs amid the Iran war, traders have moved away from gold as a safe haven, turning instead to the dollar and bonds to hedge against the threat rising energy prices will boost inflation and force interest rates higher."With oil-led inflation risks remaining the main driver, as rising energy prices strengthen the dollar and reinforce a higher-for-longer interest rate outlook. For now, the market's immediate focus remains on mediation efforts, with a reopening of the strait and a subsequent drop in oil prices representing the biggest short-term upside catalyst for both gold and silver," Saxo Bank noted.But higher rates are not yet on the way. The Federal Open Market Committee and the Bank of Canada will both release interest-rate decisions today and both are expected to leave rates steady.The dollar was higher, with the ICE dollar index last seen up 0.25 points to 98.89. Treasury yields also moved up, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.918%, up 6.8 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 4.7 points to 4.4%.
$GCM6$GLD
Sectors
Sector Update: Energy Stocks Rise Wednesday Afternoon
Energy stocks were higher Wednesday afternoon, with the NYSE Energy Sector Index and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) each rising about 2%.The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector Index was increasing 0.5%, and the Dow Jones US Utilities Index was shedding 0.5%.Oil prices rallied Wednesday after US President Donald Trump reportedly rejected an Iranian proposal to lift the naval blockade. Trump told Axios on Wednesday he will maintain the US naval blockade of Iranian ports until Tehran agrees to a nuclear deal. Iran wanted the Strait of Hormuz opened before the two sides could sit down to discuss uranium enrichment at a later stage.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil jumped 7.3% to $107.18 a barrel, and the global benchmark Brent crude contract climbed 7.4% to $119.47 a barrel. Henry Hub natural gas futures fell 2.2% to $2.63 per 1 million BTU.In corporate news, Phillips 66 (PSX) shares jumped past 6%. The firm reported Q1 adjusted earnings Wednesday of $0.49 per diluted share, swinging from a loss of $0.90 a share a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a loss of $0.54 a share. Phillips 66 also raised its annualized quarterly dividend by 7%.Bloom Energy (BE) shares surged nearly 24% after it reported Q1 adjusted earnings late Tuesday of $0.44 per diluted share, up from $0.03 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $0.12. Revenue also handily beat market consensus.TotalEnergies (TTE) shares were up 0.9% after it posted higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.
$BE$PSX$TTE