-- インテル（INTC）の好調な第1四半期決算がハイテク株を活性化させた一方、ホワイトハウスが今週末にイラン和平交渉の特使をパキスタンに派遣するとの報道を受け、金曜日の米国株式市場はまちまちの展開となった。 ナスダック総合指数は1.5%上昇し24,802.2ポイントとなり、半導体メーカーが金曜日の終値前に上昇率上位銘柄となった。S&P500種指数は0.7%上昇し7,158.3ポイントとなったが、ダウ工業株30種平均は0.3%下落し49,163.3ポイントとなった。 インテルの株価は20%上昇し、S&P500種指数とナスダック総合指数の中で最も上昇率の高い銘柄となった。同社は第1四半期の調整後利益と売上高が予想を上回ったと発表した。また、第2四半期の業績見通しも市場予想を上回った。 S&P500指数とナスダック指数の中で、NVIDIA（NVDA）、Advanced Micro Devices（AMD）、Arm Holdings（ARM）は特に好調な銘柄だった。 ウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル紙によると、イランとワシントンの主要仲介役であるアッバス・アラグチ外相がイスラマバードに到着した。CNNはホワイトハウスの情報として、スティーブ・ウィトコフ米特使とジャレッド・クシュナー米大統領特使が土曜日にパキスタンを訪問し、イランとの直接協議に参加すると報じた。 しかし、両紙によると、米国代表団がアラグチ外相と直接会談するかどうかはまだ確認されていない。ホワイトハウス当局者はウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル紙に対し、交渉に進展があれば、JD・バンス米副大統領が訪問する準備を整えていると述べた。 WTI原油先物価格は1.1%下落し1バレル94.79ドル、ブレント原油先物価格は0.8%上昇し1バレル105.87ドルとなった。 WTI原油とブレント原油は、いずれも取引開始直後に1.5％以上上昇した。
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Sectors
Crude Oil Prices Rise on Stalled U.S.-Iran Peace Talks
Crude oil prices rose on Monday as talks to end the war between the U.S. and Iran remain frozen and flows through the crucial Strait of Hormuz continue to be disrupted.Brent crude at last look gained 2.7% to US$108.17/barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 2.4% to $96.63/barrel. The U.S. and Iran appear to still be far apart on issues including Iran's nuclear ambitions and the reopening of the strait, Reuters said in a Monday report."The diplomatic stand-off means that every day 10-13 million barrels of oil fail to get to the international market, worsening an already tight oil balance. Therefore, there is only one direction for oil prices to go," Reuters quoted PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga as saying.Goldman Sachs raised its fourth-quarter oil price forecasts to $90/barrel for Brent and $83/barrel for WTI, citing reduced output from the Middle East, the report said.
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Commodities
Japan Resorts to More Coal, Nuclear During Energy Crisis Sidelines Renewables, Says IEEFA
Japan is leaning on higher nuclear output and ramping up use of coal in power generation as contingency measures in the face of the global energy crisis, but these measures are simultaneously smothering renewables, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis said on Monday.Temporary increased use of coal was decided upon to reduce the need for now-scarce LNG while the restart of some nuclear power plants is also providing additional resilience to supply shocks which have hit Asian nations hardest.IEEFA said this risks displacing domestic renewable energy which can supply just as much energy security but lower cost and it could also increase curtailment and undermine investment in more renewables, up-ending progress on decarbonization.Most of Japan's coal imports, about 71%, come from Australia, making it a safe option that reduces exposure to disrupted Middle Eastern logistics, the IEEFA report noted.But a shortage of diesel for plant operations at J-Power's Matsuura 2 gigawatt coal-fired power station slashed its output by 50% while the JFE Steel Fukuyama facility was halted over a shortage of heavy oil, underscoring that coal is not fully detached from oil and gas's geopolitical risk.Japan typically imports 4 million tons of LNG that pass through the Strait of Hormuz each year, representing about 6% of its total imports.As of March, 15 of Japan's 36 nuclear reactors were operating, as that sector recovers from the multiple impacts of the Fukushima disaster.They generate a combined 37 GW. Bringing the remainder online could cut Japan's LNG needs by 12.5 million tonnes, IEEFA said. Regulatory changes in early April were introduced, facilitating more restarts.Backing up its argument that more coal and nuclear, both less flexible power sources, could increase curtailment of renewables, IEEFA said that each nuclear restart in Japan has been followed by a reduction in renewables generation.Curtailments in Japan have risen to 1.9 terrawatt hours by 2023, up from 100 GWh in 2018. In the first half of 2025, curtailments were faster still at 1.7 terrawatt hours for a six-month period.The fact that output from coal and nuclear can not rapidly be increased or slowed means it can be difficult to make room for renewable supply on the grid when its output rises.IEEFA said that limitations in Japan's grid infrastructure is an additional constraint that limits absorption of renewable power and led to a situation in March where it curtailed renewables while importing power from abroad.IEEFA suggests that the addition of battery storage to the grid could go some way to boosting its flexibility.Curtailment of renewables output has another inherent problem in that it leads to a less favourable economic case for later additions of zero carbon generation capacity, the report said, all the more so because Japan does not compensate renewables suppliers for curtailments, a practice common in Europe.Developers are adding battery storage as a work-around to that, securing contracts that remunerate battery-discharged electricity instead of directly generated then consumed electricity.The addition of batteries adds to project costs however at a time when investor interest has yet to turn into large scale deployment, with erosion of revenue support measures a further deterrent, IEEFA said.
Research
UOB Kay Hian Upgrades Hana Microelectronics to Buy from Hold; Price Target is THB38
Hana Microelectronics (BKK:HANA) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of 25.44 Thai baht, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)
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